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An Efficient Calculation Method for the Expected Value of Sample Information: Can we do it? Yes, we can

机译:一种有效的样本期望值计算方法   信息:我们能做到吗?我们可以

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摘要

The Expected Value of Sample Information (EVSI) allows us to quantify theeconomic benefit of a potential future trial or study. While this is clearly ofbenefit, especially when considering which trials should be funded, it hasrarely been used in practise due to the immense computational power required tocalculate the EVSI using traditional methods. Therefore, recently a largenumber of methods have been designed to reduce the computational burdenrequired to calculate the EVSI and therefore allow practitioners to use it whendesigning trials and applying for funding. However, these methods are quitetechnical and are generally simply presented in theoretical terms. Therefore,this paper describes and demonstrates one of these recent methods using asimple toy example and realistic health economic model to aid practitioners toput this method into practise. It also investigates the practical applicationof this method and makes recommendations for the practitioners to achieveaccurate EVSI estimates.
机译:样本信息的期望值(EVSI)使我们能够量化潜在的未来试验或研究的经济利益。尽管这显然是有好处的,尤其是在考虑应资助哪些试验时,但由于使用传统方法计算EVSI所需的巨大计算能力,因此在实践中很少使用它。因此,最近已经设计了许多方法来减少计算EVSI所需的计算负担,并因此允许从业人员在设计试验和申请资金时使用它。但是,这些方法技术性很强,通常仅以理论术语简单介绍。因此,本文使用简单的玩具示例和现实的健康经济模型来描述和演示这些新方法中的一种,以帮助从业人员将该方法付诸实践。它还调查了该方法的实际应用,并为从业人员提出建议,以实现准确的EVSI估计。

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    Heath, Anna; Baio, Gianluca;

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  • 年度 2017
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